BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Lone Tree
Class: 1A Class Rank: 13 Conference: (15-4) Overall: (21-8) Overall Strength = 71.58
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/27/2006 Home W 76.00 84 47 1A 105 ( 1-20) Olin 6.24 * 30.76
2 12/01/2006 Away W * 62.01 67 48 2A 120 ( 5-16) Columbus Junction -7.75 * 26.75
3 12/02/2006 Home L 62.32 51 57 2A 32 (11-11) West Branch -7.44 1.44
4 12/04/2006 Away L 48.35 62 75 1A 55 (12-11) Victor HLV -21.41 8.41
5 12/05/2006 Home W * 77.04 71 59 1A 23 (14- 8) Wayland WACO 7.28 4.72
6 12/08/2006 Away W * 71.91 71 51 2A 104 (13-11) Louisa-Muscatine 2.15 17.85
7 12/12/2006 Away W * 77.40 70 35 1A 104 ( 6-16) Riverside Highland 7.64 * 27.36
8 12/15/2006 Home W * 65.93 82 47 1A 130 ( 2-20) Winfield-Mt Union -3.83 * 38.83
9 12/18/2006 Away W 100.53 104 50 2A 118 ( 7-15) Belle Plaine 30.77 23.23
10 12/19/2006 Home W * 87.92 78 37 2A 107 ( 8-15) Mediapolis 18.16 22.84
11 01/05/2007 Home W * 67.26 62 44 2A 100 (11-11) Wapello -2.50 20.50
12 01/09/2007 Away W * 79.73 68 66 1A 12 (24- 4) Iowa Mennonite 9.97 -7.97
13 01/12/2007 Home W * 70.16 75 44 2A 120 ( 5-16) Columbus Junction 0.40 * 30.60
14 01/16/2007 Away W * 72.89 61 57 1A 23 (14- 8) Wayland WACO 3.13 0.87
15 01/19/2007 Home L * 41.06 61 68 2A 104 (13-11) Louisa-Muscatine -28.70 21.70
16 01/23/2007 Home W * 73.55 79 44 1A 104 ( 6-16) Riverside Highland 3.78 * 31.22
17 01/26/2007 Away W * 47.79 59 46 1A 130 ( 2-20) Winfield-Mt Union -21.97 * 34.97
18 02/02/2007 Home L * 68.87 56 61 1A 12 (24- 4) Iowa Mennonite -0.89 -4.11
19 02/05/2007 Away L * 70.01 68 69 1A 16 (21- 2) Eldon Cardinal 0.25 -1.25
20 02/10/2007 Neutral L * 73.80 43 45 1A 12 (24- 4) Iowa Mennonite 4.04 -6.04
21 02/15/2007 Away W * 74.06 70 58 2A 73 (14- 8) Packwood Pekin 4.30 7.70 was 12/21 now 02/15
22 02/16/2007 Home W 52.64 52 42 1A 99 ( 6-15) Don Bosco -17.12 * 27.12
23 02/22/2007 Home W * 65.93 81 46 1A 130 ( 2-20) Winfield-Mt Union -3.83 * 38.83
24 02/26/2007 Home W 89.05 75 36 1A 66 (10-13) Lisbon 19.28 19.72
25 03/03/2007 Neutral W * 68.60 66 55 1A 48 (15- 9) Fort Madison Trinity -1.17 12.17
26 03/06/2007 Neutral W 76.21 47 43 1A 11 (20- 6) Andrew 6.44 -2.44
27 03/12/2007 Neutral W 76.70 46 37 1A 20 (23- 3) Des Moines Christian 6.94 2.06
28 03/15/2007 Neutral L 63.75 49 55 1A 10 (26- 2) Northwood-Kensett -6.01 0.01
29 03/16/2007 Neutral L 61.60 37 52 1A 7 (25- 3) Wall Lake WLVA -8.16 -6.84
Averages 69.76 65.3 50.8
Best game: 100.53 = 54 point win over Belle Plaine
Worst game: 41.06 = 7 point loss to Letts Louisa-Muscatine
Team stdev: 12.49